The Rise of Fiscal CapacityMarch 23, 2026 • Python, Next.js, D3, Scrollama, EconometricsAn interactive replication of Cantoni, Mohr & Weigand (Econometrica, 2024) — how bureaucrats built the modern state in the Holy Roman Empire
Are We Fragmented Yet?February 18, 2026 • Macroeconomics, GeopoliticsMeasuring geopolitical fragmentation and its macroeconomic costs since 1975
Climate-Extended Vasicek ModelFebruary 17, 2026 • Credit Risk, Climate Risk, Climate FinanceInteractive dashboard exploring the integration of physical climate risks into credit risk modeling
Commercial ImperialismJanuary 29, 2026 • International Trade, EconometricsVisualizing how CIA interventions redirected Cold War trade toward American firms
The Three-Equation ModelOctober 7, 2025 • TypeScript, Monetary PolicyInteractive New Keynesian IS-PC-MR Model with Taylor Rule optimization
Nonlinear OptimizationAugust 19, 2025 • Python, Numerical OptimizationLearning how optimization algorithms work
Beyond Asymmetry: Hirschman's Unread CorrectionApril 6, 2026 • 12 min readGeoeconomics rediscovered Hirschman's 1945 theory of trade leverage. It skipped the correction he published thirty-three years later.
China's 15th Five-Year Plan: Fortress and ForumMarch 29, 2026 • 15 min readThe 15th Five-Year Plan reveals what Beijing fears, what it is betting on, and the structural contradiction it cannot resolve.
Geoeconomic Power and InterdependenceOctober 27, 2025 • 11 min readWhy the age of weaponized interdependence demands new theory.
The Economic Limits of Coercion: Keynes on VersaillesOctober 10, 2025 • 12 min readA Revision of Keynes "The Economic Consequences of the Peace" (1919)
Will China Face Financial Crisis?October 8, 2025 • 10 min readChina faces not imminent collapse but slow-burn crisis: administrative coordination that stabilizes without resolving.
The Emerging Geoeconomic OrderOctober 7, 2025 • 8 min readA Review of Milan Babić's "Geoökonomie - Anatomie der neuen Weltordnung" (2025)